Tennis Betting & Accumulators
May 24, 2010 No CommentsChris Kisby takes a look at Tennis Betting Accumulators
Although nothing in sport is a certainty, some sports are unquestionably consistently more predictable than others.
Horse racing or greyhound racing are probably regarded as the most unpredictable betting sports in the world. Although on many occasions the form converts into results, shocks and surprises are frequent and nobody can ever rely on what should happen, happening.
On the other end of the scale, some sports do carry a high degree of predictability. Arguably, the most predictable of the mainstream betting sports, is tennis.
Players rankings are established on the basis of year long action, it is rare a week goes by without a tennis tournament being played, either on the ATP or WTA. On an extremely regular basis, the top ranked players consistently make the latter stages of every tournament going and outsiders succumb to their more skilled opponents by the same magnitude.
So the first round of a Grand Slam arrives and to be blunt and honest, the likes of Roger Federer, Serena Williams and Andy Roddick are just not worth backing whatsoever to the regular punter. A £10 bet on Rafael Nadal to win his opening match is likely to return a meagre 10% profit at the most, a deal which is just not attractive because even the hint of potential risk far outweighs the reward.
However, throw together odds of 1/12, 2/9, 1/5, 4/11 etc into small accumulators and even money to 2/1 returns are soon there for the taking.
Tennis, generally will always go to the formbook and the odds are a great guide to show the true separation of quality and talent between any two given players. ATP and WTA rankings speak absolute volumes as they are a proven record of consistent results. Asking a player ranked 129 in the world to beat Novak Djokovic for instance is the equivalent of chancing a horse who is three stone out of the weights to win the Grand National. The poorly ranked players only real hope of success is an injury to his opponent, much like the Grand National outsiders chance relies on everything else falling.
Regardless, either outcome is unlikely to say the least. Using accumulators for tennis betting offers a small, steady profit without a great deal of risk. The potential winnings will never rival that of a football or horse racing accumulator, however a profit is a profit and a strong success rate is likely as long as the punter is realistic with how many selections are included and at what odds.
Betting on any tennis match where the favourite is bigger than 1-2 is not advised. As I have explained, usually the betting is a great guide as to how close the players are in terms of ability and odds greater of 1-2 for the favoured player suggest that a potential upset may on the odd occasion be likely – or in other words, the weaker player is perhaps within grasp of their opponent.
Bookmakers, ultimately are not stupid and will not offer 4/1 about a player in what is essentially a two horse race if they had any sort of chance. This has to be taken into consideration.
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